Overview

Generated 2026-06-02 07:56 UTC

Overview

One read on the business — and whether each area is healthy.

live · 2026-06-02 07:56 UTC
MONTHLY RECURRING REVENUE
$19,909
vs start of window
+$8,891 net new MRR this window
TRUE LTV (per paying sub)
$114.11
80.0% margin · 5.5mo lifespan
Subscribers Healthy

The paid base is growing — 768 paying subs with 608 more in trial. Net adds positive.

Paying subscribers
768
Net new payers
ARPU $25.92
Trialing now 608
Retention & churn At risk

Monthly churn is 18.2% (involuntary share 4.4%) and NRR at 73.5% — the base is eroding faster than expansion can replace it. Card-recovery is the cheapest lever.

Gross MRR churn · monthly
18.2%
Net revenue retention 73.5%
Involuntary churn 4.4%
Payment auth rate 86.27%
Acquisition At risk

Activation is just 4.1% — most signups never send a message. The funnel leaks before users see product value, which caps everything downstream.

New signups · 30d
42,002
Activation rate 4.1%
Trial → paid 61.03%
Paid 1st cycle (60d) 509
Engagement At risk

Stickiness is 5.2% — most users come once and don't return regularly. May be normal for one-off intent (ask a question, leave), but worth probing if you want session frequency as a moat.

Daily active users
90
Stickiness (DAU/MAU) 5.2%
Monthly active users 1,731
Total users 42,002

Growth

Where new revenue comes from — and whether each stage of the funnel is healthy.

NET NEW MRR · THIS WINDOW
+$8,891
+80.7% MRR growth this window
Quick ratio 50.41 Healthy
New + expansion +$9,071
MRR movement · weekly last 12 weeks
Acquisition At risk

Signups at ~1448/day look fine in volume, but only 4.1% activate — most never message. The top of the funnel leaks before it produces real users.

New signups · 30d
42,002
Signups / day (avg) ~1,448
Activation rate 4.1%
Trialing now 608
Conversion Watch

Signup→paid is 4.6% with trial→paid at 61.03%. Defensible but a real ceiling on growth.

Signup → paid
4.6%
Trial → paid 61.03%
Net new payers · window
Paying subscribers 768
Expansion & retention Watch

New + expansion is outrunning churn (quick ratio 50.41), but NRR is 73.5% and churn is 18.2%/mo — growth leans heavily on new business.

New + expansion MRR
+$9,071
Quick ratio 50.41
Net revenue retention 73.5%
Gross MRR churn 18.2%
Daily signups
avg ~1,448/day
Daily new paying subs
gross adds
Dashed tail = today so far (partial day, not yet complete)

How actively users are interacting with the app and which features they reach for.

DAU / WAU / MAU (60d)

Feature usage (daily, 60d)

What the model layer is costing and where the tokens are going.

Daily spend (60d)

Daily total + 7-day rolling average

Monthly totals (last 12 months)

Models & mix

Top models (30d)
ModelTypeEventsIn tokensOut tokensCost (USD)
gemini-2.5-flash chat 2,284 1,134,604,329 52,965,258 $590.99
gpt-5.5-pro chat 177 817,467 908,449 $367.91
claude-haiku-4-5 chat 14,792 60,048,849 15,409,638 $171.37
claude-opus-4-6 chat 1,108 7,621,301 1,527,435 $95.37
gemini-2.5-pro chat 233 6,387,249 2,721,676 $70.99
gpt-5.5 chat 482 1,873,313 774,643 $66.99
gpt-5.4-pro chat 30 181,105 150,664 $64.43
claude-opus-4-5 chat 718 4,370,179 929,716 $56.37
black-forest-labs/FLUX-2-pro image 634 0 0 $31.70
claude-sonnet-4-6 chat 743 3,853,294 853,817 $30.46
gpt-5.4-nano chat 11,248 47,064,606 8,196,601 $24.57
pixverse-v6 video 41 0 0 $10.17
claude-sonnet-4-5 chat 144 669,490 272,507 $7.62
veo-3.1-fast video 5 0 0 $6.06
grok-4 chat 221 841,133 103,542 $5.10
gpt-5 chat 10 28,970 28,808 $1.87
elevenlabs-music music 9 0 0 $1.48
eleven_multilingual_v2 tts 9 8,616 0 $1.35
seedance-2 video 1 0 0 $1.30
gpt-5.4 chat 7 10,183 20,551 $0.64
PrunaAI/p-image image 39 0 0 $0.49
text-embedding-3-small document 1,109 19,079,097 0 $0.48
kling-2.5-turbo-pro video 1 0 0 $0.46
deepseek-reasoner chat 30 44,397 48,906 $0.31
gpt-5.4-mini chat 25 63,378 26,624 $0.21
gpt-4.1 chat 22 44,911 10,023 $0.21
text-embedding-3-small chat 2,224 1,272,471 0 $0.03
moonshot-32k chat 7 14,788 2,928 $0.03
grok-3 chat 3 2,007 1,412 $0.03
gpt-5-mini chat 11 4,760 9,370 $0.02
deepseek-chat chat 16 13,347 8,036 $0.01
grok-3-mini chat 7 11,910 9,543 $0.01
mistral-small chat 3 2,687 1,895 $0.00
moonshot-128k chat 1 26 89 $0.00

Cohort retention, customer lifetime value, and reasons users are leaving.

Paying-customer cohort retention · cohort = month of first paid invoice · retention = paid that month

The "are paying customers durable?" chart. Each line is a paying cohort grouped by the month they first paid. M0 = 100% by definition. The M1, M2, M3 slope is what tells you whether new paying customers stick. Renewals from annual plans only register every 12 months, so this metric is conservative if you have a meaningful annual mix.

Activated-user retention curves · cohort = users whose first message was in week W

The product-fit signal. Cohort is users who actually activated (sent ≥1 message); retention measures how many came back to message in week N. W0 is ~100% by definition. The W1, W2, W3 slope is what tells you whether the product earns repeat use.

Signup retention curves · cohort = all signups (W0 ≈ activation rate)

Same chart but anchored on signup-week (not activation). W0 is your activation rate — only a few % of signups send any message at all. Useful as a "raw funnel-completion" view, but the chart above is closer to what most people mean by "retention."

Weekly signup cohort retention (heatmap)

% of signup cohort sending a message in week N (rows = signup week, cols = weeks since signup). Same data as the signup curves chart, different read.
Cohort
Size
W0
W1
W2
W3
2026-05-04
3,138
3%
1%
0%
0%
2026-05-11
14,181
3%
0%
0%
0%
2026-05-18
8,654
5%
1%
0%
2026-05-25
15,345
5%
0%

Lifetime value

Total revenue
$36,172
all-time · USD
Avg LTV (paying)
$18.91
1,913 paying customers
Median LTV (paying)
$1.99
50th percentile
Top 10% LTV
$49.99
90th percentile
Monthly ARPU
$25.92
MRR / active subs
Revenue per signup
$0.86
all signups, all-time
Paying conversion
4.55%
1,913 of 42,002
True LTV (margin-aware)
$114.11
$25.92/mo ARPU × 5.5mo lifetime × 80.0% margin
Gross predicted LTV
$142.64
ARPU × 5.5mo lifetime · 28.3d churn window

LTV by signup-month cohort

Signup monthSignupsPaid customers% payingAvg LTV (USD)Total rev (USD)
2026-05-01 41,318 1,884 4.6% $0.87 $36,066
2026-06-01 684 29 4.2% $0.15 $105.71

Churn rates · 28.3d window · 1,917 subs

Gross churn (monthly)
18.2%
324 cancellations / 28.3d
Voluntary churn
13.7%
245 subs · user-initiated
Involuntary churn
4.4%
79 subs · 24.4% of total churn
Weekly cancellations by type (last 12 weeks)

Churn signals (last 30 days)

Top cancellation reasons (cancellation_attempts)
ReasonOffer responseOutcomeCount
(none) (none) abandoned 109
too_expensive declined cancelled 41
other (none) cancelled 29
not_using declined cancelled 25
(none) (none) saved_at_intro 22
switching (none) cancelled 12
technical_problems declined cancelled 10
missing_features declined cancelled 7
not_using declined abandoned 6
missing_features accepted cancelled 5
other (none) abandoned 4
hard_to_use declined cancelled 4
too_expensive declined abandoned 2
not_using (none) abandoned 2
too_expensive (none) abandoned 1
(none) (none) (none) 1
technical_problems declined abandoned 1
too_expensive declined (none) 1
missing_features accepted abandoned 1
switching (none) abandoned 1
technical_problems accepted saved_by_offer 1
Free-text feedback (cancellation_feedback)
DayReasonFeedback
2026-05-27 other no
2026-05-27 missing_features none
2026-05-27 other other
2026-05-27 too_expensive wrong ai
2026-05-27 other I want the official claude site
2026-05-27 other just came to experiment
2026-05-27 other -----
2026-05-27 need_break i want to
2026-05-27 not_using N/A
2026-05-27 too_expensive it, little bit expensive for me
2026-05-27 other Thought this was Anthropic.
2026-05-27 too_expensive ex
2026-05-27 too_expensive subscribed on accident
2026-05-27 not_using Acces full files that are attached
2026-05-27 too_expensive PLEASE I NEED TO CANCEL NOT WHAT I EXPECTED
2026-05-27 missing_features !
2026-05-27 switching dont like this i want my 1.99 back
2026-05-27 not_using i dont need it
2026-05-27 not_using i dont need it
2026-05-27 missing_features I don't like it.
2026-05-27 need_break no
2026-05-27 other d
2026-05-27 too_expensive uu
2026-05-27 other the monthly billing is a little sneaky.
2026-05-27 other p

1st-cycle churn (global) · of paid subs whose first-cycle outcome has resolved

1st-cycle churn
34.5%
290 of 840 resolved subs
Renewed past 1st cycle
550
paid 2+ invoices
In flight (outcome pending)
1,074
paid 1, still active
Total paying subs
1,914
≥1 paid invoice

Cancellation feedback themes

Each dot is one piece of free-text feedback. Colors are themes identified by Claude in a single Messages API call. Edges connect each response to a few others in the same theme — the spring layout then groups them into visible clusters. Hover a dot to read the feedback, click a theme card to focus that cluster.

Where your paying customers live, and how each market performs on trial conversion and first-cycle retention.

Countries
34
with ≥5 paying customers
Top market
🇺🇸 United States
513 paying customers
Coverage (paying)
99.2%
1,899 of 1,914
Coverage (all customers)
94.7%
22,538 of 23,796

By country

Countries sorted by paying-customer count. 1st-cycle churn = paid-once-and-canceled subs ÷ subs whose first-cycle outcome has resolved (renewed or canceled). In-flight subs are excluded from the denominator.
Country Paying Revenue (USD) Avg LTV Trials (60d) Trial conv % Resolved 1st-cycle churn
🇺🇸 United States US 513 $11,432 $22.28 182 74.7% 162 22.8%
🇦🇺 Australia AU 260 $5,532 $21.28 191 63.6% 154 32.5%
🇨🇦 Canada CA 173 $4,994 $28.86 117 70.1% 109 27.5%
🇬🇧 United Kingdom GB 111 $2,044 $18.42 79 62.9% 62 35.5%
🇹🇷 Türkiye TR 107 $1,311 $12.25 78 43.4% 52 51.9%
🇷🇴 Romania RO 99 $590.93 $5.97 28 53.3% 14 42.9%
🇺🇦 Ukraine UA 61 $349.33 $5.73 14 66.7% 9 22.2%
🇵🇱 Poland PL 52 $525.39 $10.10 16 69.2% 14 28.6%
🇸🇬 Singapore SG 49 $1,191 $24.31 29 76.0% 24 20.8%
🇭🇰 Hong Kong HK 48 $877.40 $18.28 20 66.7% 19 15.8%
🇻🇳 Vietnam VN 44 $909.44 $20.67 36 41.4% 29 55.2%
🇫🇷 France FR 33 $543.60 $16.47 13 77.8% 8 12.5%
🇧🇬 BG BG 23 $165.73 $7.21 19 40.0% 9 44.4%
🇹🇭 Thailand TH 21 $443.73 $21.13 17 46.2% 13 53.8%
🇬🇪 GE GE 21 $227.76 $10.85 10 75.0% 5 20.0%
🇨🇳 CN CN 20 $355.73 $17.79 12 58.3% 12 33.3%
🇲🇩 Moldova MD 19 $217.75 $11.46 18 37.5% 15 60.0%
🇵🇭 Philippines PH 19 $479.77 $25.25 9 57.1% 7 42.9%
🇪🇸 Spain ES 17 $201.79 $11.87 8 66.7% 5 20.0%
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia SA 16 $269.78 $16.86 15 54.5% 11 45.5%
🇰🇷 South Korea KR 15 $215.82 $14.39 12 37.5% 8 50.0%
🇭🇺 Hungary HU 15 $303.81 $20.25 12 57.1% 7 28.6%
🇮🇳 India IN 13 $229.86 $17.68 10 25.0% 4 50.0%
🇱🇹 LT LT 12 $191.84 $15.99 10 44.4% 9 55.6%
🇱🇻 LV LV 10 $175.88 $17.59 4 66.7% 3 33.3%
🇳🇴 Norway NO 9 $291.87 $32.43 4 100.0% 4 0.0%
🇲🇾 Malaysia MY 8 $93.91 $11.74 5 25.0% 3 66.7%
🇧🇪 Belgium BE 8 $45.91 $5.74 6 20.0% 5 60.0%
🇬🇷 Greece GR 6 $117.94 $19.66 3 0.0% 3 100.0%
🇦🇪 UAE AE 6 $101.91 $16.99 5 60.0% 5 40.0%
🇮🇩 Indonesia ID 6 $101.91 $16.99 6 50.0% 6 50.0%
🇮🇱 Israel IL 6 $71.92 $11.99 5 40.0% 5 60.0%
🇵🇹 Portugal PT 5 $105.95 $21.19 2 0.0% 1 100.0%
🇷🇸 RS RS 5 $99.92 $19.98 5 75.0% 4 25.0%