Overview
The paid base is growing — 987 paying subs with 312 more in trial. Net adds positive.
Monthly churn is 21.4% (involuntary share 4.7%) and NRR at 74.6% — the base is eroding faster than expansion can replace it. Card-recovery is the cheapest lever.
Activation is just 4.1% — most signups never send a message. The funnel leaks before users see product value, which caps everything downstream.
Stickiness is 4.6% — most users come once and don't return regularly. May be normal for one-off intent (ask a question, leave), but worth probing if you want session frequency as a moat.
Signups at ~1491/day look fine in volume, but only 4.1% activate — most never message. The top of the funnel leaks before it produces real users.
Signup→paid is 4.6% with trial→paid at 60.65%. Defensible but a real ceiling on growth.
New + expansion is outrunning churn (quick ratio 64.48), but NRR is 74.6% and churn is 21.4%/mo — growth leans heavily on new business.
How actively users are interacting with the app and which features they reach for.
DAU / WAU / MAU (60d)
Feature usage (daily, 60d)
What the model layer is costing and where the tokens are going.
Daily spend (60d)
Monthly totals (last 12 months)
Models & mix
| Model | Type | Events | In tokens | Out tokens | Cost (USD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| gpt-5.5-pro | chat | 190 | 838,550 | 990,081 | $397.04 |
| claude-haiku-4-5 | chat | 16,830 | 68,982,159 | 17,374,132 | $194.82 |
| claude-opus-4-6 | chat | 1,316 | 10,362,594 | 1,744,381 | $119.28 |
| gpt-5.4-pro | chat | 36 | 196,262 | 198,234 | $81.62 |
| gpt-5.5 | chat | 562 | 2,295,646 | 936,526 | $81.38 |
| gemini-2.5-pro | chat | 248 | 6,435,029 | 2,734,361 | $71.38 |
| claude-opus-4-5 | chat | 805 | 5,347,682 | 1,087,743 | $67.42 |
| gemini-2.5-flash | chat | 2,520 | 30,159,741 | 9,974,875 | $42.48 |
| black-forest-labs/FLUX-2-pro | image | 702 | 0 | 0 | $35.10 |
| claude-sonnet-4-6 | chat | 813 | 4,357,861 | 953,551 | $34.22 |
| gpt-5.4-nano | chat | 12,445 | 52,525,301 | 9,318,378 | $27.69 |
| pixverse-v6 | video | 44 | 0 | 0 | $11.82 |
| grok-4 | chat | 424 | 2,031,845 | 147,127 | $10.38 |
| claude-sonnet-4-5 | chat | 144 | 669,490 | 272,507 | $7.62 |
| veo-3.1-fast | video | 5 | 0 | 0 | $6.06 |
| gpt-5.4 | chat | 13 | 48,897 | 62,831 | $2.07 |
| gpt-5 | chat | 12 | 29,047 | 29,490 | $1.91 |
| elevenlabs-music | music | 9 | 0 | 0 | $1.48 |
| eleven_multilingual_v2 | tts | 9 | 8,616 | 0 | $1.35 |
| seedance-2 | video | 1 | 0 | 0 | $1.30 |
| text-embedding-3-small | document | 1,409 | 24,445,737 | 0 | $0.61 |
| PrunaAI/p-image | image | 41 | 0 | 0 | $0.51 |
| kling-2.5-turbo-pro | video | 1 | 0 | 0 | $0.46 |
| deepseek-reasoner | chat | 30 | 44,397 | 48,906 | $0.31 |
| gpt-4.1 | chat | 23 | 49,316 | 10,876 | $0.23 |
| gpt-5.4-mini | chat | 25 | 63,378 | 26,624 | $0.21 |
| mistral-large | chat | 2 | 133,140 | 3,929 | $0.09 |
| text-embedding-3-small | chat | 3,153 | 1,801,708 | 0 | $0.05 |
| moonshot-32k | chat | 7 | 14,788 | 2,928 | $0.03 |
| grok-3 | chat | 3 | 2,007 | 1,412 | $0.03 |
| gpt-5-mini | chat | 11 | 4,760 | 9,370 | $0.02 |
| deepseek-chat | chat | 16 | 13,347 | 8,036 | $0.01 |
| grok-3-mini | chat | 7 | 11,910 | 9,543 | $0.01 |
| mistral-small | chat | 12 | 14,018 | 7,543 | $0.00 |
| moonshot-128k | chat | 1 | 26 | 89 | $0.00 |
Cohort retention, customer lifetime value, and reasons users are leaving.
Paying-customer cohort retention · cohort = month of first paid invoice · retention = paid that month
Activated-user retention curves · cohort = users whose first message was in week W
Signup retention curves · cohort = all signups (W0 ≈ activation rate)
Weekly signup cohort retention (heatmap)
Lifetime value
LTV by signup-month cohort
| Signup month | Signups | Paid customers | % paying | Avg LTV (USD) | Total rev (USD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 41,318 | 1,886 | 4.6% | $1.02 | $42,061 |
| 2026-06-01 | 3,428 | 155 | 4.5% | $0.49 | $1,680 |
Churn rates · 31.3d window · 2,043 subs
Churn signals (last 30 days)
| Reason | Offer response | Outcome | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| (none) | (none) | abandoned | 145 |
| too_expensive | declined | cancelled | 74 |
| other | (none) | cancelled | 53 |
| not_using | declined | cancelled | 42 |
| (none) | (none) | saved_at_intro | 32 |
| switching | (none) | cancelled | 16 |
| technical_problems | declined | cancelled | 15 |
| not_using | declined | abandoned | 8 |
| missing_features | declined | cancelled | 7 |
| other | (none) | abandoned | 5 |
| missing_features | accepted | cancelled | 5 |
| hard_to_use | declined | cancelled | 4 |
| too_expensive | declined | abandoned | 4 |
| too_expensive | (none) | abandoned | 3 |
| (none) | (none) | (none) | 2 |
| not_using | (none) | abandoned | 2 |
| technical_problems | declined | abandoned | 1 |
| not_using | accepted | saved_by_offer | 1 |
| switching | (none) | abandoned | 1 |
| too_expensive | declined | (none) | 1 |
| too_expensive | accepted | saved_by_offer | 1 |
| technical_problems | accepted | saved_by_offer | 1 |
| missing_features | accepted | abandoned | 1 |
| Day | Reason | Feedback |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | other | no |
| 2026-05-27 | missing_features | none |
| 2026-05-27 | other | other |
| 2026-05-27 | too_expensive | wrong ai |
| 2026-05-27 | other | I want the official claude site |
| 2026-05-27 | other | just came to experiment |
| 2026-05-27 | other | ----- |
| 2026-05-27 | need_break | i want to |
| 2026-05-27 | not_using | N/A |
| 2026-05-27 | too_expensive | it, little bit expensive for me |
| 2026-05-27 | other | Thought this was Anthropic. |
| 2026-05-27 | too_expensive | ex |
| 2026-05-27 | too_expensive | subscribed on accident |
| 2026-05-27 | not_using | Acces full files that are attached |
| 2026-05-27 | too_expensive | PLEASE I NEED TO CANCEL NOT WHAT I EXPECTED |
| 2026-05-27 | missing_features | ! |
| 2026-05-27 | switching | dont like this i want my 1.99 back |
| 2026-05-27 | not_using | i dont need it |
| 2026-05-27 | not_using | i dont need it |
| 2026-05-27 | missing_features | I don't like it. |
| 2026-05-27 | need_break | no |
| 2026-05-27 | other | d |
| 2026-05-27 | too_expensive | uu |
| 2026-05-27 | other | the monthly billing is a little sneaky. |
| 2026-05-27 | other | p |
1st-cycle churn (global) · of paid subs whose first-cycle outcome has resolved
Cancellation feedback themes
Where your paying customers live, and how each market performs on trial conversion and first-cycle retention.
By country
| Country ⓘ | Paying ⓘ | Revenue (USD) ⓘ | Avg LTV ⓘ | Trials (60d) ⓘ | Trial conv % ⓘ | Resolved ⓘ | 1st-cycle churn ⓘ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇺🇸 United States US | 587 | $14,883 | $25.35 | 325 | 69.1% | 277 | 25.6% |
| 🇦🇺 Australia AU | 260 | $5,962 | $22.93 | 220 | 64.3% | 173 | 32.4% |
| 🇨🇦 Canada CA | 175 | $5,447 | $31.13 | 138 | 69.2% | 132 | 28.8% |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom GB | 111 | $2,344 | $21.12 | 94 | 64.5% | 75 | 32.0% |
| 🇹🇷 Türkiye TR | 110 | $1,677 | $15.24 | 99 | 47.9% | 73 | 49.3% |
| 🇷🇴 Romania RO | 106 | $1,043 | $9.84 | 78 | 52.5% | 41 | 46.3% |
| 🇺🇦 Ukraine UA | 72 | $599.16 | $8.32 | 45 | 50.0% | 22 | 31.8% |
| 🇵🇱 Poland PL | 62 | $771.24 | $12.44 | 35 | 53.8% | 27 | 44.4% |
| 🇸🇬 Singapore SG | 52 | $1,347 | $25.91 | 35 | 75.0% | 31 | 22.6% |
| 🇭🇰 Hong Kong HK | 52 | $1,123 | $21.60 | 32 | 62.1% | 29 | 27.6% |
| 🇻🇳 Vietnam VN | 44 | $909.44 | $20.67 | 38 | 40.0% | 31 | 58.1% |
| 🇫🇷 France FR | 35 | $745.53 | $21.30 | 22 | 75.0% | 15 | 20.0% |
| 🇧🇬 BG BG | 23 | $195.72 | $8.51 | 23 | 35.7% | 14 | 57.1% |
| 🇹🇭 Thailand TH | 22 | $445.72 | $20.26 | 17 | 46.2% | 13 | 53.8% |
| 🇨🇳 CN CN | 22 | $437.70 | $19.90 | 15 | 57.1% | 14 | 35.7% |
| 🇬🇪 GE GE | 21 | $257.75 | $12.27 | 14 | 66.7% | 6 | 16.7% |
| 🇲🇩 Moldova MD | 19 | $277.73 | $14.62 | 19 | 47.1% | 17 | 52.9% |
| 🇪🇸 Spain ES | 19 | $283.76 | $14.93 | 9 | 62.5% | 8 | 37.5% |
| 🇵🇭 Philippines PH | 19 | $509.76 | $26.83 | 15 | 50.0% | 9 | 44.4% |
| 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia SA | 16 | $269.78 | $16.86 | 15 | 50.0% | 12 | 50.0% |
| 🇰🇷 South Korea KR | 15 | $215.82 | $14.39 | 13 | 30.0% | 10 | 60.0% |
| 🇭🇺 Hungary HU | 15 | $333.80 | $22.25 | 12 | 62.5% | 8 | 25.0% |
| 🇮🇳 India IN | 13 | $229.86 | $17.68 | 10 | 25.0% | 4 | 50.0% |
| 🇱🇹 LT LT | 12 | $191.84 | $15.99 | 11 | 40.0% | 10 | 60.0% |
| 🇱🇻 LV LV | 10 | $235.86 | $23.59 | 7 | 80.0% | 5 | 20.0% |
| 🇳🇴 Norway NO | 9 | $291.87 | $32.43 | 6 | 66.7% | 6 | 33.3% |
| 🇲🇾 Malaysia MY | 8 | $153.89 | $19.24 | 7 | 60.0% | 5 | 40.0% |
| 🇧🇪 Belgium BE | 8 | $105.89 | $13.24 | 8 | 42.9% | 7 | 42.9% |
| 🇬🇷 Greece GR | 6 | $147.93 | $24.66 | 4 | 25.0% | 4 | 75.0% |
| 🇦🇪 UAE AE | 6 | $101.91 | $16.99 | 6 | 50.0% | 6 | 50.0% |
| 🇮🇩 Indonesia ID | 6 | $101.91 | $16.99 | 6 | 50.0% | 6 | 50.0% |
| 🇮🇱 Israel IL | 6 | $101.91 | $16.99 | 6 | 50.0% | 6 | 50.0% |
| 🇵🇹 Portugal PT | 5 | $105.95 | $21.19 | 3 | 0.0% | 1 | 100.0% |
| 🇷🇸 RS RS | 5 | $99.92 | $19.98 | 5 | 60.0% | 5 | 40.0% |