Overview

Generated 2026-06-05 07:46 UTC

Overview

One read on the business — and whether each area is healthy.

live · 2026-06-05 07:46 UTC
MONTHLY RECURRING REVENUE
$26,250
vs start of window
+$15,232 net new MRR this window
TRUE LTV (per paying sub)
$99.55
80.0% margin · 4.7mo lifespan
Subscribers Healthy

The paid base is growing — 987 paying subs with 312 more in trial. Net adds positive.

Paying subscribers
987
Net new payers
ARPU $26.60
Trialing now 312
Retention & churn At risk

Monthly churn is 21.4% (involuntary share 4.7%) and NRR at 74.6% — the base is eroding faster than expansion can replace it. Card-recovery is the cheapest lever.

Gross MRR churn · monthly
21.4%
Net revenue retention 74.6%
Involuntary churn 4.7%
Payment auth rate 87.48%
Acquisition At risk

Activation is just 4.1% — most signups never send a message. The funnel leaks before users see product value, which caps everything downstream.

New signups · 30d
44,726
Activation rate 4.1%
Trial → paid 60.65%
Paid 1st cycle (60d) 706
Engagement At risk

Stickiness is 4.6% — most users come once and don't return regularly. May be normal for one-off intent (ask a question, leave), but worth probing if you want session frequency as a moat.

Daily active users
84
Stickiness (DAU/MAU) 4.6%
Monthly active users 1,845
Total users 44,746

Growth

Where new revenue comes from — and whether each stage of the funnel is healthy.

NET NEW MRR · THIS WINDOW
+$15,232
+138.2% MRR growth this window
Quick ratio 64.48 Healthy
New + expansion +$15,472
MRR movement · weekly last 12 weeks
Acquisition At risk

Signups at ~1491/day look fine in volume, but only 4.1% activate — most never message. The top of the funnel leaks before it produces real users.

New signups · 30d
44,726
Signups / day (avg) ~1,491
Activation rate 4.1%
Trialing now 312
Conversion Watch

Signup→paid is 4.6% with trial→paid at 60.65%. Defensible but a real ceiling on growth.

Signup → paid
4.6%
Trial → paid 60.65%
Net new payers · window
Paying subscribers 987
Expansion & retention Watch

New + expansion is outrunning churn (quick ratio 64.48), but NRR is 74.6% and churn is 21.4%/mo — growth leans heavily on new business.

New + expansion MRR
+$15,472
Quick ratio 64.48
Net revenue retention 74.6%
Gross MRR churn 21.4%
Daily signups
avg ~1,491/day
Daily new paying subs
gross adds
Dashed tail = today so far (partial day, not yet complete)

How actively users are interacting with the app and which features they reach for.

DAU / WAU / MAU (60d)

Feature usage (daily, 60d)

What the model layer is costing and where the tokens are going.

Daily spend (60d)

Daily total + 7-day rolling average

Monthly totals (last 12 months)

Models & mix

Top models (30d)
ModelTypeEventsIn tokensOut tokensCost (USD)
gpt-5.5-pro chat 190 838,550 990,081 $397.04
claude-haiku-4-5 chat 16,830 68,982,159 17,374,132 $194.82
claude-opus-4-6 chat 1,316 10,362,594 1,744,381 $119.28
gpt-5.4-pro chat 36 196,262 198,234 $81.62
gpt-5.5 chat 562 2,295,646 936,526 $81.38
gemini-2.5-pro chat 248 6,435,029 2,734,361 $71.38
claude-opus-4-5 chat 805 5,347,682 1,087,743 $67.42
gemini-2.5-flash chat 2,520 30,159,741 9,974,875 $42.48
black-forest-labs/FLUX-2-pro image 702 0 0 $35.10
claude-sonnet-4-6 chat 813 4,357,861 953,551 $34.22
gpt-5.4-nano chat 12,445 52,525,301 9,318,378 $27.69
pixverse-v6 video 44 0 0 $11.82
grok-4 chat 424 2,031,845 147,127 $10.38
claude-sonnet-4-5 chat 144 669,490 272,507 $7.62
veo-3.1-fast video 5 0 0 $6.06
gpt-5.4 chat 13 48,897 62,831 $2.07
gpt-5 chat 12 29,047 29,490 $1.91
elevenlabs-music music 9 0 0 $1.48
eleven_multilingual_v2 tts 9 8,616 0 $1.35
seedance-2 video 1 0 0 $1.30
text-embedding-3-small document 1,409 24,445,737 0 $0.61
PrunaAI/p-image image 41 0 0 $0.51
kling-2.5-turbo-pro video 1 0 0 $0.46
deepseek-reasoner chat 30 44,397 48,906 $0.31
gpt-4.1 chat 23 49,316 10,876 $0.23
gpt-5.4-mini chat 25 63,378 26,624 $0.21
mistral-large chat 2 133,140 3,929 $0.09
text-embedding-3-small chat 3,153 1,801,708 0 $0.05
moonshot-32k chat 7 14,788 2,928 $0.03
grok-3 chat 3 2,007 1,412 $0.03
gpt-5-mini chat 11 4,760 9,370 $0.02
deepseek-chat chat 16 13,347 8,036 $0.01
grok-3-mini chat 7 11,910 9,543 $0.01
mistral-small chat 12 14,018 7,543 $0.00
moonshot-128k chat 1 26 89 $0.00

Cohort retention, customer lifetime value, and reasons users are leaving.

Paying-customer cohort retention · cohort = month of first paid invoice · retention = paid that month

The "are paying customers durable?" chart. Each line is a paying cohort grouped by the month they first paid. M0 = 100% by definition. The M1, M2, M3 slope is what tells you whether new paying customers stick. Renewals from annual plans only register every 12 months, so this metric is conservative if you have a meaningful annual mix.

Activated-user retention curves · cohort = users whose first message was in week W

The product-fit signal. Cohort is users who actually activated (sent ≥1 message); retention measures how many came back to message in week N. W0 is ~100% by definition. The W1, W2, W3 slope is what tells you whether the product earns repeat use.

Signup retention curves · cohort = all signups (W0 ≈ activation rate)

Same chart but anchored on signup-week (not activation). W0 is your activation rate — only a few % of signups send any message at all. Useful as a "raw funnel-completion" view, but the chart above is closer to what most people mean by "retention."

Weekly signup cohort retention (heatmap)

% of signup cohort sending a message in week N (rows = signup week, cols = weeks since signup). Same data as the signup curves chart, different read.
Cohort
Size
W0
W1
W2
W3
W4
2026-05-04
3,138
3%
1%
0%
0%
0%
2026-05-11
14,181
3%
0%
0%
0%
2026-05-18
8,654
5%
1%
0%
2026-05-25
15,345
5%
1%

Lifetime value

Total revenue
$43,742
all-time · USD
Avg LTV (paying)
$21.43
2,041 paying customers
Median LTV (paying)
$1.99
50th percentile
Top 10% LTV
$49.99
90th percentile
Monthly ARPU
$26.60
MRR / active subs
Revenue per signup
$0.98
all signups, all-time
Paying conversion
4.56%
2,041 of 44,746
True LTV (margin-aware)
$99.55
$26.60/mo ARPU × 4.7mo lifetime × 80.0% margin
Gross predicted LTV
$124.44
ARPU × 4.7mo lifetime · 31.3d churn window

LTV by signup-month cohort

Signup monthSignupsPaid customers% payingAvg LTV (USD)Total rev (USD)
2026-05-01 41,318 1,886 4.6% $1.02 $42,061
2026-06-01 3,428 155 4.5% $0.49 $1,680

Churn rates · 31.3d window · 2,043 subs

Gross churn (monthly)
21.4%
449 cancellations / 31.3d
Voluntary churn
16.7%
350 subs · user-initiated
Involuntary churn
4.7%
99 subs · 22.0% of total churn
Weekly cancellations by type (last 12 weeks)

Churn signals (last 30 days)

Top cancellation reasons (cancellation_attempts)
ReasonOffer responseOutcomeCount
(none) (none) abandoned 145
too_expensive declined cancelled 74
other (none) cancelled 53
not_using declined cancelled 42
(none) (none) saved_at_intro 32
switching (none) cancelled 16
technical_problems declined cancelled 15
not_using declined abandoned 8
missing_features declined cancelled 7
other (none) abandoned 5
missing_features accepted cancelled 5
hard_to_use declined cancelled 4
too_expensive declined abandoned 4
too_expensive (none) abandoned 3
(none) (none) (none) 2
not_using (none) abandoned 2
technical_problems declined abandoned 1
not_using accepted saved_by_offer 1
switching (none) abandoned 1
too_expensive declined (none) 1
too_expensive accepted saved_by_offer 1
technical_problems accepted saved_by_offer 1
missing_features accepted abandoned 1
Free-text feedback (cancellation_feedback)
DayReasonFeedback
2026-05-27 other no
2026-05-27 missing_features none
2026-05-27 other other
2026-05-27 too_expensive wrong ai
2026-05-27 other I want the official claude site
2026-05-27 other just came to experiment
2026-05-27 other -----
2026-05-27 need_break i want to
2026-05-27 not_using N/A
2026-05-27 too_expensive it, little bit expensive for me
2026-05-27 other Thought this was Anthropic.
2026-05-27 too_expensive ex
2026-05-27 too_expensive subscribed on accident
2026-05-27 not_using Acces full files that are attached
2026-05-27 too_expensive PLEASE I NEED TO CANCEL NOT WHAT I EXPECTED
2026-05-27 missing_features !
2026-05-27 switching dont like this i want my 1.99 back
2026-05-27 not_using i dont need it
2026-05-27 not_using i dont need it
2026-05-27 missing_features I don't like it.
2026-05-27 need_break no
2026-05-27 other d
2026-05-27 too_expensive uu
2026-05-27 other the monthly billing is a little sneaky.
2026-05-27 other p

1st-cycle churn (global) · of paid subs whose first-cycle outcome has resolved

1st-cycle churn
35.2%
406 of 1,154 resolved subs
Renewed past 1st cycle
748
paid 2+ invoices
In flight (outcome pending)
888
paid 1, still active
Total paying subs
2,042
≥1 paid invoice

Cancellation feedback themes

Each dot is one piece of free-text feedback. Colors are themes identified by Claude in a single Messages API call. Edges connect each response to a few others in the same theme — the spring layout then groups them into visible clusters. Hover a dot to read the feedback, click a theme card to focus that cluster.

Where your paying customers live, and how each market performs on trial conversion and first-cycle retention.

Countries
34
with ≥5 paying customers
Top market
🇺🇸 United States
587 paying customers
Coverage (paying)
99.0%
2,022 of 2,042
Coverage (all customers)
94.7%
22,701 of 23,964

By country

Countries sorted by paying-customer count. 1st-cycle churn = paid-once-and-canceled subs ÷ subs whose first-cycle outcome has resolved (renewed or canceled). In-flight subs are excluded from the denominator.
Country Paying Revenue (USD) Avg LTV Trials (60d) Trial conv % Resolved 1st-cycle churn
🇺🇸 United States US 587 $14,883 $25.35 325 69.1% 277 25.6%
🇦🇺 Australia AU 260 $5,962 $22.93 220 64.3% 173 32.4%
🇨🇦 Canada CA 175 $5,447 $31.13 138 69.2% 132 28.8%
🇬🇧 United Kingdom GB 111 $2,344 $21.12 94 64.5% 75 32.0%
🇹🇷 Türkiye TR 110 $1,677 $15.24 99 47.9% 73 49.3%
🇷🇴 Romania RO 106 $1,043 $9.84 78 52.5% 41 46.3%
🇺🇦 Ukraine UA 72 $599.16 $8.32 45 50.0% 22 31.8%
🇵🇱 Poland PL 62 $771.24 $12.44 35 53.8% 27 44.4%
🇸🇬 Singapore SG 52 $1,347 $25.91 35 75.0% 31 22.6%
🇭🇰 Hong Kong HK 52 $1,123 $21.60 32 62.1% 29 27.6%
🇻🇳 Vietnam VN 44 $909.44 $20.67 38 40.0% 31 58.1%
🇫🇷 France FR 35 $745.53 $21.30 22 75.0% 15 20.0%
🇧🇬 BG BG 23 $195.72 $8.51 23 35.7% 14 57.1%
🇹🇭 Thailand TH 22 $445.72 $20.26 17 46.2% 13 53.8%
🇨🇳 CN CN 22 $437.70 $19.90 15 57.1% 14 35.7%
🇬🇪 GE GE 21 $257.75 $12.27 14 66.7% 6 16.7%
🇲🇩 Moldova MD 19 $277.73 $14.62 19 47.1% 17 52.9%
🇪🇸 Spain ES 19 $283.76 $14.93 9 62.5% 8 37.5%
🇵🇭 Philippines PH 19 $509.76 $26.83 15 50.0% 9 44.4%
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia SA 16 $269.78 $16.86 15 50.0% 12 50.0%
🇰🇷 South Korea KR 15 $215.82 $14.39 13 30.0% 10 60.0%
🇭🇺 Hungary HU 15 $333.80 $22.25 12 62.5% 8 25.0%
🇮🇳 India IN 13 $229.86 $17.68 10 25.0% 4 50.0%
🇱🇹 LT LT 12 $191.84 $15.99 11 40.0% 10 60.0%
🇱🇻 LV LV 10 $235.86 $23.59 7 80.0% 5 20.0%
🇳🇴 Norway NO 9 $291.87 $32.43 6 66.7% 6 33.3%
🇲🇾 Malaysia MY 8 $153.89 $19.24 7 60.0% 5 40.0%
🇧🇪 Belgium BE 8 $105.89 $13.24 8 42.9% 7 42.9%
🇬🇷 Greece GR 6 $147.93 $24.66 4 25.0% 4 75.0%
🇦🇪 UAE AE 6 $101.91 $16.99 6 50.0% 6 50.0%
🇮🇩 Indonesia ID 6 $101.91 $16.99 6 50.0% 6 50.0%
🇮🇱 Israel IL 6 $101.91 $16.99 6 50.0% 6 50.0%
🇵🇹 Portugal PT 5 $105.95 $21.19 3 0.0% 1 100.0%
🇷🇸 RS RS 5 $99.92 $19.98 5 60.0% 5 40.0%